The brokerage also increased the target price for other key players in the sector with Bharti Airtel’s target at Rs 1,430 and Reliance Industries’ target price at Rs 3,340, foreseeing an upside of 13.5% and 17.4%, respectively.
“As a pure-play telco, we find VIL offers the highest leverage for tariff hike - a 5% ARPU increase leads to a 12% EPS increase. On the back of its recent fundraise, we expect VIL to improve its 4G network coverage. This should help arrest market share decline and make it competitively better placed,” analysts said in a note.The brokerage also increased the target price for other key players in the sector with Bharti Airtel’s target at Rs 1,430 and Reliance Industries’ target price at Rs 3,340, foreseeing an upside of 13.5% and 17.4%, respectively.
“We think Bharti/RIL would likely use improving cash-flows to invest/grow their fiber broadband, enterprise, data center, and digital biz. Most of these are high margin sticky businesses, helping these companies diversify cash-flows from cellular biz and add new growth drivers,” said the report by BofA.
Meanwhile, Indus Towers has been priced 17% above, at a target of Rs 410, up from Rs 335 as the brokerage firm views it as an indirect beneficiary of the tariff hikes as VIL’s improving cash flows should aid business in terms of sustained business and better multiple.
The Bank of America estimates that the magnitude of the expected tariff hike is likely to be higher at 20-25% vs an earlier expectation of 10-15%, however, improved cash-flows on the back of hikes can be utilized by telcos to grow high margin fiber broadband and enterprise/data-center offerings.
In the last 5-6 years, only two tariff hikes have been witnessed despite expectations of tariff hikes every year. However, going ahead, BofA is more optimistic about another round of tariff hikes within 12 months as the companies are looking to monetize 5G & improve cash flows and competition stabilizing with all telcos being well funded, said Sachin Salgaonkar, analyst at Bank of America.
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Source: Stocks-Markets-Economic Times