Crisil predicts a slowdown in NBFCs' co-lending portfolios in FY'25, especially in unsecured lending, due to revised risk weights. While overall co-lending will grow, personal loan growth will moderate to 25-35% from 35% in FY'24. The focus is shifting towards MSME and home loans, driven by government initiatives
Co-lending portfolios of NBFCs are expected to moderate in FY'25 as they are expected to go slow on unsecured lending, said a report by ratings firm .While co-lending books for all asset classes will grow, the pace of growth for personal loans is expected to be slower than that seen in the recent past. This is because of the revision in the risk weight of unsecured consumer credit to 125% now from 100% earlier, which would lead to some moderation in growth for unsecured loans to 25-35% in fiscal 2025, from an estimated growth of 35% in fiscal 2024, Crisil said.
“With recalibration in growth of personal loans following increase in risk weights, the share of personal in the co-lending book could decline in fiscal 2025, and that of MSME and home loans should go up" said Malvika Bhotika, Director, CRISIL Ratings. " This will be supported by the government's focus on increasing the share of MSME sector contribution in India’s gross domestic product and ‘Housing for All’ initiatives. Net-net, co-lending will continue to see increased traction as NBFCs look for alternate funding sources to cater to the healthy demand for retail loans.”
Of the current overall co-lending book, personal loans alone account for about a third of the assets managed by NBFCs, followed by housing loans at 20% and unsecured MSME loans and gold loans each making up 13% of the pie. Secured MSME (including loan against property) and vehicle loans comprise the rest 20%.
Crisil studied 100 NBFCs for over 90% of the sector’s assets under management. Interestingly, only about a third of these have active co-lending books at present. Co-lending assets under management of NBFCs is nearing Rs 1 lakh crore after more than 5 years since the model came into being, Crisil said. Over the medium term, the rating agency sees a healthy growth momentum at 35-40% annually, amidst rising interests of partners – NBFCs as well as bank.
Source: Stocks-Markets-Economic Times