Oil prices climb as geopolitical tensions outweigh US inventories

By Siyi Liu

SINGAPORE (Reuters) -Oil prices climbed on Thursday as geopolitical concerns over escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine outweighed the impact of a bigger-than-expected increase in U.S. crude inventories.

Brent crude futures rose 60 cents, or 0.82%, to $72.81 as of 0734 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 64 cents, or 0.93%, to $69.39.

Ukraine fired a volley of British Storm Shadow cruise missiles into Russia on Wednesday, the latest Western weapon it has been permitted to use on Russian targets, a day after it fired U.S. ATACMS missiles.

Moscow has said the use of Western weapons to strike Russian territory far from the border would be a major escalation in the conflict. Kyiv says that in order to defend itself it must be able to strike Russian rear bases used to support Moscow's invasion, which entered its 1,000th day this week.

"For oil, the risk is if Ukraine targets Russian energy infrastructure, while the other risk is uncertainty over how Russia responds to these attacks," said ING analysts in a note.

JPMorgan analysts added that oil consumption recovered in the past week because of better travel demand in the U.S. and India, while the latter also showed a significant rise in industrial demand.

Global oil demand is estimated to have reached 103.6 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first 19 days of November, up 1.7 million bpd on-year, the analysts said in a note.

Both Brent and WTI have risen more than 3% so far this week.

However, geopolitical turmoil, whether from Russia's invasion of Ukraine or the Israel-Hamas conflict, has provided only a short-term boost to prices and has not sustained momentum, said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

Weighing on the market was a rise in U.S. crude inventories by 545,000 barrels to 430.3 million barrels in the week ended Nov. 15, exceeding analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 138,000-barrel rise.

Gasoline inventories last week rose more than forecast, while distillate stockpiles posted a larger-than-expected draw, according to the Energy Information Administration data.

Adding to supply, Norway's Equinor said it had restored full output capacity at the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea following a power outage.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies led by Russia, the group known as OPEC+, may push back output increases again when it meets on Dec. 1 due to weak global oil demand, according to three OPEC+ sources familiar with the discussions.



OPEC+, which pumps around half the world's oil, had initially planned to gradually reverse production cuts with minor increases spread over several months in 2024 and 2025.

However, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its report last week that even if OPEC+ cuts remain in place, oil supply will exceed demand in 2025 as rising production from the United States and other outside producers outpaces sluggish demand.

Source: Investing.com