Oil prices rise on Chinese factory data, but set for yearly declines

Oil prices rose in Asian Trade on Tuesday as Chinese manufacturing activity reading boosted sentiment, while trading was thin on the last day of the year as investors assessed the outlook for the upcoming year.

At 21:05 ET (02:05 GMT), Brent Oil Futures  rose 0.7% to $74.51 a barrel, and Crude Oil WTI Futures  expiring in February also jumped 0.7% to $71.05 a barrel.

Trading volumes were thin ahead of the new year's start as many institutional investors and traders took time off during the holiday season. Additionally, year-end profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing reduce trading activity.  Chinese manufacturing data in focus, U.S. ISM survey on tap

China’s manufacturing sector expanded in December but at a slower-than-expected pace, marking its third straight month of expansion as a raft of fresh stimulus measures provided support, purchasing managers index data showed on Tuesday.

The outlook for oil demand hinges on the hope that China, the world's largest oil importer, can revive its economy, especially as there are concerns about a potential oversupply due to expected increases in production from non-OPEC countries.

Markets are awaiting more clarity on Beijing’s plans for stimulus measures in the coming year. Recent reports suggested that the country will ramp up fiscal spending to support economic growth.

Additionally, the U.S. releases the ISM survey  for December on Friday, and traders will be seeking clues about the strength of economic activity in the world’s largest energy consumer.  Oil tracks yearly losses on demand outlook concerns

Both contracts were heading for annual declines, with WTI set to slip nearly 1% and Brent dropping on track to lose nearly 4%, as traders remain wary about China's economic outlook and the possibility of oversupply in the months ahead.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) had recently raised its demand forecast for next year but maintained its projection that the oil market will remain adequately supplied.

Latest Energy Information Administration (EIA) data has shown that U.S. oil production remains near record levels, and the incoming Donald Trump administration is likely to agree to policies that would focus on ramping up domestic fossil fuel production. 

Market participants are also cautious about the broader economic concerns, including weaker-than-expected demand growth in China, traditionally a key driver for global oil consumption. China's oil demand has been contracting, further underscoring the expected oversupply scenario.

Traders are concerned about the 2025 outlook as rising supply and tepid demand recovery weigh on the balance sheets.

Source: Investing.com